That’s what people are telling me, but it just doesn’t feel right. I’m not sure how to explain - it’s not that I think I could only ever have loved my ex, but rather that when I get lonely (and I do a lot) I always focus on the past and mistakes I made. I don’t seem to have anything in me that’s forward-looking and open to new things. It’s a little like how I feel about getting a new dog, now that I think about it. After my dog died three years ago, I really expected that I would mourn and then get another one, but while I really miss having a dog, I find that I don’t want a new dog. It feels like the tree was cut down but the stump is still there and there’s no room for something else to grow, so to speak.

I broke up with my ex because I felt like she would always structure her life so that her job and other things she felt like she had a duty to do took up most of her time and she didn’t have much left for me. But it looks like I made a mistake, because almost two years later I still don’t want to try dating anyone else. She doesn’t want me back. Whoops.

(I think that if she had been the one who broke up with me, I would have tried to move on, but because I broke up with her, changed my mind, and then got turned down, something in my brain is stuck somehow. It seems like I’ve bricked my love life.)

That seems like a genuinely useful application. You can see which trials are most likely to succeed (as a patient, or as an investor) and hedge risk. I get the impression that people will find some negative way to phrase pretty much any prediction market question.

What a detached-from-reality take. I’m not saying that appealing to the moral sense of the oppressors usually works (it doesn’t) but when a group of people successfully gains their freedom, it’s usually by appealing to that moral sense. After all, if the oppressor wasn’t stronger than the oppressed, there probably wouldn’t have been oppression in the first place.